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Ampleur et déterminants des cycles d'activité en Chine

Sandra Poncet () and Jean Barthélemy

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Abstract: Our study examines the amplitude and determinants of the synchronization of business cycles in China. The country's de facto federalism suggests the importance of coordination between provincial policies. We devote special attention to the influence of provincial autonomy on industrial, tax, and trade policies. Our results indicate that domestic trade and tax coordination promote economic integration and stabilize inter-regional fluctuations. Conversely, we find that heterogeneous international-trade and production structures act as a centrifugal force ultimately harmful to China's economic cohesion.

Keywords: business cycles; economic integration; China; cycles d'activité; Chine; Intégration économique (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Published in Economie et Prévision, 2008, 185, pp.1-12

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Journal Article: Ampleur et déterminants des cycles d'activité en Chine (2008) Downloads
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