Integration of human factors in project uncertainty management, a decision support system based on fuzzy logic

Saïna Hassanzadeh, François Marmier (), Didier Gourc () and Sophie Bougaret
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Saïna Hassanzadeh: CGI - Centre Génie Industriel - IMT Mines Albi - IMT École nationale supérieure des Mines d'Albi-Carmaux - IMT - Institut Mines-Télécom [Paris], Fondation pour une Culture de Sécurité Industrielle - Institut pour une Culture de Sécurité Industrielle
François Marmier: CGI - Centre Génie Industriel - IMT Mines Albi - IMT École nationale supérieure des Mines d'Albi-Carmaux - IMT - Institut Mines-Télécom [Paris]
Didier Gourc: CGI - Centre Génie Industriel - IMT Mines Albi - IMT École nationale supérieure des Mines d'Albi-Carmaux - IMT - Institut Mines-Télécom [Paris]
Sophie Bougaret: MANAGEOS - MANAGEOS

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Abstract: Decision-making under uncertainty implies dealing with information about different choices and their consequences that is partial for the decision-maker. In front of uncertainty, either the decision can be postponed, waiting for complementary information or the decision can be only made on the available infor- mation, despite possible consequences on the decision. We propose a model to identify and structure needed information. Human factors are taken into consideration in this structure. Then, to process the collected infor- mation, we propose a Fuzzy Decision Support System (FDSS) which deals with uncertain information. In this approach, a sequence of decisions leads to a final choice, taking progressively into account new information whose role is to refine available information. Human representation and reasoning mode are imitated, respec- tively by fuzzy sets and fuzzy inference rules. We apply the proposed FDSS to a case study held on a ski resort. The results with this approach prove effective compared to those a naive decisional approach.

Keywords: Gestion; des; risques (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-09
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00745283v1
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Published in European Safety and Reliability Conference, Sep 2011, Troyes (France), France. pp.661-669

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00745283

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