A semiparametric panel model for unbalanced data with application to climate change in the United Kingdom

Alev Atak (), Oliver Linton and Zhijie Xiao
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Alev Atak: Department of Economics - Department of Economics

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Abstract: This paper is concerned with developing a semiparametric panel model to explain the trend in UK temperatures and other weather outcomes over the last century. We work with the monthly averaged maximum and minimum temperatures observed at the twenty six Meteorological Office stations. The data is an unbalanced panel. We allow the trend to evolve in a nonparametric way so that we obtain a fuller picture of the evolution of common temperature in the medium timescale. Profile likelihood estimators (PLE) are proposed and their statistical properties are studied. The proposed PLE has improved asymptotic property comparing the the sequential two-step estimators. Finally, forecasting based on the proposed model is studied.

Keywords: C13; C14; C21; D24; Global warming; Kernel estimation; Semiparametric; Trend analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-07-16
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00844810
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

Published in Econometrics, 2011, 164 (1), pp.92. ⟨10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.02.008⟩

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Journal Article: A semiparametric panel model for unbalanced data with application to climate change in the United Kingdom (2011)
Working Paper: A Semiparametric Panel Model for unbalanced data with Application to Climate Change in the United Kingdom (2010)
Working Paper: A Semiparametric Panel Model for Unbalanced Data with Application to Climate Change in the United Kingdom (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00844810

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.02.008

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