Markets analysis of different direct payments options for eu new member states using AGMEMOD partial equilibrium modelling tool

Frédéric Chantreuil, Guna Salputra and Emil Erjavec ()

Post-Print from HAL

Abstract: This paper presents an analysis of the impact of different direct payment policy scenarios on agricultural markets for 10 new EU member states (NMS). The study is based on the AGMEMOD EU-27 dynamic econometric partial equilibrium models. The baseline scenario assumes the preservation of current policy, which would lead to further growth in production for most agricultural markets, resulting from accelerated technological development and the opportunities provided by the EU common market. The only exceptions are the dairy and beef sectors, in which NMS would face a reduction in competitiveness. According to model simulations, reducing the level of payments or abolishing them entirely would not result in any dramatic medium-term changes to agricultural markets in NMS by 2020, which could serve as an argument for supporting future CAP reform.

Keywords: POLITIQUE; AGRICOLE; COMMUNE (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Published in Outlook On Agriculture, 2013, 42 (1), pp.33-40. ⟨10.5367/oa.2013.0111⟩

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01208798

DOI: 10.5367/oa.2013.0111

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Post-Print from HAL
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CCSD ().