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An Epsilon constraint method for selecting Indicators for use in Neural Networks for stock market forecasting

Fouad Ben Abdelaziz, Mohamed Amer and Hazim El-Baz
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Fouad Ben Abdelaziz: NEOMA - Neoma Business School

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Abstract: Forecasting future moves of stock markets has been and always will be of great interest to researchers and practitioners. This paper proposes a multi-objective programming methodology to select the optimum technical indicators to be used as input in a Neural Network (NN) in order to predict stock market prices. A new mathematical model will be proposed which involves objective functions and constraints to filter out the noisy signals and maximize the prediction power. The 0-1 multi-objective model aims to select the indicators maximizing the covariance of the indicators with the output of the NN while minimizing the covariance among the indicators themselves. The Multi-objective model is transformed via the Epsilon Constraint technique. Many efficient configurations of indicators for different values of epsilon are evaluated and their resulting errors are presented. Our approach provides a systematic methodology in order to choose the variables that significantly affect price movements. The methodology is applied on the NIKKEI225 stock market index.

Keywords: multi-objective optimization; stock market; neural network; technical indicators (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-08
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published in INFOR: Information Systems and Operational Research , 2014, Vol. 52 (n° 3), pp 116-125. ⟨10.3138/infor.52.3.114⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01223453

DOI: 10.3138/infor.52.3.114

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