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Why have asset price properties changed so little in 200 years

Jean-Philippe Bouchaud () and Damien Challet
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Jean-Philippe Bouchaud: X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris

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Abstract: We first review empirical evidence that asset prices have had episodes of large fluctuations and been inefficient for at least 200 years. We briefly review recent theoretical results as well as the neurological basis of trend following and finally argue that these asset price properties can be attributed to two fundamental mechanisms that have not changed for many centuries: an innate preference for trend following and the collective tendency to exploit as much as possible detectable price arbitrage, which leads to destabilizing feedback loops.

Date: 2017-02-27
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://centralesupelec.hal.science/hal-01311113
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published in Econophysics and Sociophysics: Recent Progress and Future Directions, Springer, 2017, 978-3-319-47704-6

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Working Paper: Why have asset price properties changed so little in 200 years (2016) Downloads
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