What is just a probability?

Qu’est-ce, au juste, qu'une probabilité ?

Francis Bismans

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Abstract: The article studies the development of the concept of probability, from Laplace up to Popper. It presents the classical definition of probability and the "frequentist" conception formalised by R. von Mises. After, it discusses Keynes' interpretation of probability and the different approaches to the subjective probability, of Ramsey, de Finetti and Savage. The axiomatization of probability calculus by Kolmogorov was a breakdown and drives to the probability-propensity of K. Popper.

Keywords: Axiomatization; relative frequency; betting quotient; objective and subjective probabilities; conditional probability; propensity; expected utility; Axiomatisation; coefficient de pari; fréquence relative; logique du probable; probabilités objective et subjective; probabilité conditionnelle; propension; utilité espérée (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-06-28
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Published in Revue d'histoire de la pensée économique, 2017, Revue d'histoire de la pensée économique, 2017-1, n°3, pp.131-168. ⟨10.15122/isbn.978-2-406-06967-6.p.0131⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01677430

DOI: 10.15122/isbn.978-2-406-06967-6.p.0131

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