Short-run pain, long-run gain: the conditional welfare gains from international financial integration

Raouf Boucekkine (), Giorgio Fabbri and Patrick Pintus

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Abstract: This paper aims at clarifying the analytical conditions under which financial globalization originates welfare gains in a simple endogenous growth setting. We focus on an open-economy AK model in which the capital-deepening effect of financial globalization boosts growth in a in permanent but entails an entry cost in order to access international credit markets. We show that constrained borrowing triggers substantial welfare gains, even at small levels of international financial integration, provided that the autarkic growth rate is larger than the world interest rate. Such conditional welfare benefits boosted by stronger growth—long-run gain—arise in our preferred model without investment commitment and they range, relative to autarky, from about 2% in middle-income countries to about 13% in OECD-type countries under international financial integration. Sizeable benefits emerge despite the fact that consumption initially falls—short-run pain—which is, however, shown not to dwarf positive growth changes.

Date: 2018-03
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://amu.hal.science/hal-02084239
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Published in Economic Theory, 2018, 65 (2), pp.329-360. ⟨10.1007/s00199-016-1019-7⟩

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Related works:
Journal Article: Short-run pain, long-run gain: the conditional welfare gains from international financial integration (2018)
Working Paper: Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration (2016)
Working Paper: Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: the Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration (2012)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02084239

DOI: 10.1007/s00199-016-1019-7

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