The Impact of Natural Disasters on Critical Infrastructures: A Domino Effect-based Study

Farid Kadri, B. Birregah () and Eric Chatelet ()
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Farid Kadri: TEMPO - Laboratoire de Thermique, Ecoulements Mécaniques matériaux mise en forme PrOduction - UVHC - Université de Valenciennes et du Hainaut-Cambrésis, LAMIH - Laboratoire d'Automatique, de Mécanique et d'Informatique industrielles et Humaines - UMR 8201 - UVHC - Université de Valenciennes et du Hainaut-Cambrésis - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
B. Birregah: LM2S - Laboratoire Modélisation et Sûreté des Systèmes - ICD - Institut Charles Delaunay - UTT - Université de Technologie de Troyes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, STMR - Sciences et Technologies pour la Maitrise des Risques - UTT - Université de Technologie de Troyes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Eric Chatelet: LM2S - Laboratoire Modélisation et Sûreté des Systèmes - ICD - Institut Charles Delaunay - UTT - Université de Technologie de Troyes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, STMR - Sciences et Technologies pour la Maitrise des Risques - UTT - Université de Technologie de Troyes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Recent events show a significant increase in the number of disasters with natural and/or technological causes, which could have potentially serious consequences for critical infrastructures. Were these infrastructures to fail or be destroyed, the resulting cascade effect (chain of accidents) could lead to catastrophic damage and affect not only the plants, but also people, the environment and the economy. This rise in the number of disasters over the years is due to industrial and human activity as well as society's sensitivity to major events (hazards). The construction of industrial complexes brings with it stocks of hazardous substances, increased transport infrastructure (road, railways, shipping and pipelines), a rise in population and its concentration, malicious behavior and human error. This paper presents a methodology for carrying out risk assessments on critical infrastructure through the analysis of cascade effects. The proposed methodology can be used to provide critical infrastructures with greater protection and to limit/mitigate the extent of the damage caused by their failure. The paper ends with a conclusion and as series of proposal for improving such an analysis.

Keywords: critical infrastructures; domino effect; Nat-Tech; natural risks; probabilistic modeling; risk assessment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-01-05
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

Published in Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 2014, 11 (2), pp.217-241. ⟨10.1515/jhsem-2012-0077⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02365385

DOI: 10.1515/jhsem-2012-0077

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