A protocol to develop Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture
Hermine Mitter (),
Anja-K Techene,
Franz Sinabell,
Katharina Helming,
Kasper Kok,
Jörg A Priess,
Erwin Schmid,
Benjamin L. Bodirsky,
Ian Holman,
Heikki Lehtonen,
Adrian Leip,
Chantal Le Mouël,
Erik Mathijs,
Bano Mehdi,
Melania Michetti (),
Klaus Mittenzwei,
Olivier Mora (),
Pytrik Reidsma,
Rüdiger Schaldach and
Martin Schönhart
Additional contact information
Hermine Mitter: BOKU - Universität für Bodenkultur Wien = University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences [Vienne, Autriche]
Anja-K Techene: ZALF - Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research
Katharina Helming: ZALF - Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research
Kasper Kok: WUR - Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen]
Jörg A Priess: UFZ - Helmholtz Zentrum für Umweltforschung = Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
Erwin Schmid: BOKU - Universität für Bodenkultur Wien = University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences [Vienne, Autriche]
Benjamin L. Bodirsky: PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Ian Holman: Cranfield University
Adrian Leip: SSI - Dokuchaev Soil Science Institute - Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences
Bano Mehdi: BOKU - Universität für Bodenkultur Wien = University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences [Vienne, Autriche]
Klaus Mittenzwei: NIBIO - Norsk institutt for bioøkonomi=Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research
Olivier Mora: DEPE - Délégation à l'Expertise scientifique collective, à la Prospective et aux Etudes - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique
Pytrik Reidsma: Plant Production Systems Group - WUR - Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen]
Rüdiger Schaldach: University of Kassel
Martin Schönhart: BOKU - Universität für Bodenkultur Wien = University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences [Vienne, Autriche]
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Abstract:
Moving towards a more sustainable future requires concerted actions, particularly in the context of global climate change. Integrated assessments of agricultural systems (IAAS) are considered valuable tools to provide sound information for policy and decision-making. IAAS use storylines to define socio-economic and environ-mental framework assumptions. While a set of qualitative global storylines, known as the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), is available to inform integrated assessments at large scales, their spatial resolution and scope is insufficient for regional studies in agriculture. We present a protocol to operationalize the development of Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture – Eur-Agri-SSPs – to support IAAS. The proposed design of the storyline development process is based on six quality criteria: plausibility, vertical and horizontal consis-tency, salience, legitimacy, richness and creativity. Trade-offs between these criteria may occur. The process is science-driven and iterative to enhance plausibility and horizontal consistency. A nested approach is suggested to link storylines across scales while maintaining vertical consistency. Plausibility, legitimacy, salience, richness and creativity shall be stimulated in a participatory and interdisciplinary storyline development process. The quality criteria and process design requirements are combined in the protocol to increase conceptual and methodological transparency. The protocol specifies nine working steps. For each step, suitable methods are proposed and the intended level and format of stakeholder engagement are discussed. A key methodological challenge is to link global SSPs with regional perspectives provided by the stakeholders, while maintaining vertical consistency and stakeholder buy-in. We conclude that the protocol facilitates systematic development and evaluation of storylines, which can be transferred to other regions, sectors and scales and supports inter- comparisons of IAAS.
Keywords: consistent storylines; narrative; integrated assessment; climate change; Eur-Agri-SSP; social environmental system (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)
Published in Journal of Environmental Management, 2019, 252, ⟨10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109701⟩
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02619037
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109701
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