Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016

Simone Moriconi, Giovanni Peri and Riccardo Turati

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Abstract: We analyze the impact of local immigration on natives' preferences for "nationalism" as measured in parties' programs by the Manifesto Project Database in European election data between 2007 and 2016. Using a 2SLS strategy with a shift-share IV based on immigrant shares by origin in 2005 and inflows by education-origin groups, we estimate that larger inflows of highly-educated immigrants were associated with a decrease in the "nationalistic" vote of natives, while less-educated immigrants produced an opposite-direction shift towards nationalistic parties. The aggregate results derive from individual shifts toward nationalism in response to less-skilled immigration, and from greater participation of young voters and more pro-European attitudes in response to high-skilled immigration.

Keywords: Immigration; Nationalism; Elections; Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-01
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03596002v1
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

Published in European Economic Review, 2022, 141, pp.103986. ⟨10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103986⟩

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Related works:
Journal Article: Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016 (2022)
Working Paper: Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016 (2018)
Working Paper: Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016 (2018)
Working Paper: Skill of the Immigrants and Vote of the Natives: Immigration and Nationalism in European Elections 2007-2016 (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03596002

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103986

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