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Does Monetary Integration Lead to Income Convergence in Africa? A Study of the CFA Monetary Area

Souleymane Ndao, Nikolay Nenovsky () and Kiril Tochkov ()
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Souleymane Ndao: CRIISEA - Centre de Recherche sur les Institutions, l'Industrie et les Systèmes Économiques d'Amiens - UR UPJV 3908 - UPJV - Université de Picardie Jules Verne

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Abstract: The CFA franc area is one of the oldest currency unions, but it has come under intense criticism recently for failing to promote economic growth and income convergence between member states. This paper examines the growth experience of the 14 member countries relative to a common benchmark over the period 1960\textendash 2011. In particular, we use a combination of parametric and non-parametric methods to study convergence patterns as well as growth dynamics and to identify the factors responsible for changes in relative per-capita income. The results indicate divergence tendencies that result in a bimodal distribution in the long run. The sharp devaluation of the CFA franc in 1994 increases intradistributional mobility which is directed towards lower income levels. The regression analysis suggests that openness, FDI, and financial development have a positive and robust effect on convergence in the currency union. \textcopyright 2018, ISEG.

Date: 2019
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Published in Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer Verlag, 2019, 18 (2), pp.67--85. ⟨10.1007/s10258-018-0150-8⟩

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DOI: 10.1007/s10258-018-0150-8

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