Poverty and COVID-19 in Africa and Latin America

Olivier Bargain and Ulugbek Aminjonov

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Abstract: Since March 2020, governments have recommended or enacted lockdown policies to curb the spread of COVID-19. Yet, poorer segments of the population cannot afford to stay at home and must continue to work. In this paper, we test whether work-related mobility is effectively influenced by the local intensity of poverty. To do so, we exploit poverty data and Google mobility data for 242 regions of nine Latin American and African countries. We find that the drop in work-related mobility during the first lockdown period was indeed significantly lower in high-poverty regions compared to other regions. We also illustrate how higher poverty has induced a faster spread of the virus. The policy implication is that social protection measures in the form of food or cash trasfers must be complementary to physical distancing measures. Further research must evaluate how such transfers, when implemented, have attenuated the difference between poor and non-poor regions in terms of exposure to the virus.

Keywords: COVID-19; Poverty; Lockdown; Compliance; Work mobility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-02-01
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03683517
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (22)

Published in World Development, 2021, pp.105422. ⟨10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105422⟩

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Journal Article: Poverty and COVID-19 in Africa and Latin America (2021)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03683517

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105422

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