Econometric Study of the Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security in Morocco

Etude économétrique des impacts du changement climatique sur la sécurité alimentaire au Maroc

Arib Fatima and Houria Et-Touile
Additional contact information
Houria Et-Touile: UCA - Université Cadi Ayyad [Marrakech]

Post-Print from HAL

Abstract: The agricultural sector is one of the most sensitive sectors to climate change, this sector is directly affected by temperature and rainfall and the rate of arable land, which are an input in food security. The main objective of this paper is to assess theimpacts of climate change and arable land on food security in Morocco between 1971 and 2017, using a cointegration model based on the ARDL (Autoregressive Staggered Delayed Rise) approach. The empirical results show that an increase in precipitationhas apositive effect on agricultural GDP, theincrease in temperatureby 1% has a negative effect on agricultural GDP with a decrease of 3.14% in the short term and 5% in the long term, while arable land does not directly influence the country's food security. In order to minimize the negative effects of climate change in Morocco, whose agricultural sector represents the most important sector of the economy, it is important to establish adaptation policies to fight against climate change

Date: 2022-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-ara and nep-env
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03909166v1
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Published in African Scientific Journal, 2022, ⟨10.5281/zenodo.5643153⟩

Downloads: (external link)
https://hal.science/hal-03909166v1/document (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03909166

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5643153

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Post-Print from HAL
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CCSD ().