Measuring the impact of the Covid-19 health crisis on ferries traffic: case of the port of La Goulette located in Tunisia

La mesure de l’impact de la crise sanitaire du Covid-19 sur le trafic de ferries: cas du port de La Goulette en Tunisie

Ahmed Derbel () and Kaies Samet ()
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Ahmed Derbel: Université de Sousse - Institut Supérieur du Transport et de la Logistique
Kaies Samet: ISGI Sfax - Institut Supérieur de Gestion Industrielle de Sfax

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Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic has become both a global health and socio-economic crisis, with many countries implementing unprecedented mobility restrictions to control the spread of the virus. It therefore seems essential, for example, to assess the impacts of this virus on maritime transport of passengers by ferries, as well as in the worldwide and in Tunisia, by taking the case of the port of La Goulette. For this, we have adopted a methodological approach which is based, on the one hand, on a theoretical study, carried out using works and documents directly related to our subject, and on the other hand, on an empirical study, using the multiple linear regression method, after which we found that there are indicators having impacts on the number of passengers entering the port of La Goulette. These are divided between a negative impact (TND-EUR exchange rate) and positive impacts (the number of cases infected with Covid-19, the number of ships entering in the port of La Goulette and the temperature). However, taking into account the exogenous health variable, it turned out over time that we gradually went from a positive impact on the number of passengers entering the port of La Goulette to a negative impact, in accordance with observation in the tunisian port and the literature review, and finally nowadays to zero impact.

Keywords: Ferries traffic; Covid-19 pandemic; the port of La Goulette; multiple linear regression method; the number of passengers entering the port of La Goulette; the number of cases infected with Covid-19; positive impact; negative impact; zero impact.; Trafic de ferries; Covid-19; port de La Goulette; méthode de la régression linéaire multiple; nombre de passagers entrés au port de La Goulette; nombre de cas infectés par le Covid-19; impact positif; impact négatif; impact nul. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-04-27
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara and nep-tre
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Published in RTS. Recherche, transports, sécurité, 2023, 2023, 13p. ⟨10.25578/RTS_ISSN1951-6614_2023-03⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04083474

DOI: 10.25578/RTS_ISSN1951-6614_2023-03

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