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Beliefs and preferences as predictors of prophylactic adherence and lockdown compliance in South Africa

Stefano Farolfi (), Damien Jourdain (), Eric Mungatana, Nicky Nicholls, Marc Willinger and Eleni Yitbarek
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Damien Jourdain: UMR G-EAU - Gestion de l'Eau, Acteurs, Usages - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - BRGM - Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - AgroParisTech - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement, Cirad-ES - Département Environnements et Sociétés - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement, IRRI - International Rice Research Institute [Philippines] - CGIAR - Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research [CGIAR]
Eric Mungatana: University of Pretoria [South Africa], Stellenbosch University
Nicky Nicholls: UMR G-EAU - Gestion de l'Eau, Acteurs, Usages - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - BRGM - Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - AgroParisTech - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement
Eleni Yitbarek: University of Pretoria [South Africa]

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Abstract: Much of the research on behavioural preferences as predictors of compliance with regulations aimed at reducing the transmission of COVID-19 has focused on developed countries, with very little consideration of African countries. We conduct an online survey (n = 1503) considering beliefs, and individual and social preferences as predictors of compliance with prophylactic measures and lockdown regulations in South Africa. We use incentivized experimental measures of individual (risk and time) preferences and social preferences (cooperativeness and altruism). We also consider survey measures of risk tolerance, patience and trust. We find that beliefs about others' behaviour are highly predictive of reported behaviour. We also find that greater patience and cooperativeness are predictive of high compliance with prophylactic measures and lockdown regulations. Encouragingly, respondents report higher compliance at higher lockdown levels, suggesting responsiveness of behaviour to the level of risk of infection.

Keywords: COVID-19; individual preferences; elicited preferences; stated preferences; South Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Published in Development Southern Africa, 2024, 41 (1), pp.91-109. ⟨10.1080/0376835X.2023.2252462⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04201670

DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2023.2252462

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