Risk profiling of food security impediments using decision maker’s behavioural preference towards operational risk management

Rachita Gupta, Ravi Shankar, Kee-Hung Lai and Ajay Kumar ()
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Ravi Shankar: IIT Delhi - Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
Kee-Hung Lai: POLYU - The Hong Kong Polytechnic University [Hong Kong]
Ajay Kumar: EM - EMLyon Business School

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Abstract: "For different decision makers, their approach towards management of operational risks differs due to difference in background and behavioural preferences. For such reasons, they attach different importance to various perspectives to manage operational risks. Present study conducts and analyses risk profiling of food security impediments, in which operational risk has come up as an important impediment. Based on three perspectives namely, social, economic, and operational, the research first evaluates severity of impediments in food security. Risk profiling is then conducted on the basis of decision makers' preferences towards different perspectives. Integration of fuzzy set theory and evidential reasoning algorithm along with decision makers' behavioural preferences have been used for the analysis. The proposed model generates a continuum of scenarios towards relative importance of three perspectives. It is observed that despite changing the importance of perspectives, a few risks show robustness in their severity, while other ones are sensitive to small changes. Based on these dynamic changes in risk-percept, insightful risk profiling is presented in this research. The risk profiling approach uniquely helps decision makers to adequately plan their course of actions to deal with operational risks associated with food security."

Keywords: Evidential reasoning algorithm; Food security impediments; Food secure system; Operational risk planning; Risk profiling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-01-04
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Published in Annals of Operations Research, inPress, 36 p. ⟨10.1007/s10479-022-05148-7⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04325680

DOI: 10.1007/s10479-022-05148-7

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