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On the Prediction of Systemic Risk Tolerance of Cryptocurrencies

Sabri Boubaker, Sitara Karim, Muhammad Abubakr Naeem and Molla Ramizur Rahman
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Sitara Karim: Sunway University [Malaysia]
Muhammad Abubakr Naeem: Swansea University

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Abstract: The role of big data in finance is pivotal, especially in forecasting stock prices, mitigating risk, and assessing market anomalies. With the financial system becoming more interconnected, analytical models using large data are gaining prominence in developing risk spillover models. This study estimates the systemic risk tolerance of twenty-five high-valued cryptocurrencies and finds that Fantom has the highest tolerance, while Bitcoin and Ethereum have a lower tolerance due to their large market share. It also shows that the common trend of cryptocurrencies enhances each other's tolerance and develops a predictive model for systemic risk tolerance. The study can help investors and market participants devise strategies for safe haven investment, hedging, and speculation during a market downturn. \textcopyright 2023 Elsevier Inc.

Keywords: Bitcoin; Commonality; Competition; Crisis; Cryptocurrency; currency; Financial markets; financial system; Financial system; Forecasting stock prices; Investments; Large data; Market share; Mitigating risk; prediction; Risk assessment; Risk tolerance; stock market; Systemic risk tolerance; Systemic risks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

Published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, 198, ⟨10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122963⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04432400

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122963

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