Reading the News: Telling Supply from Demand in Commodity Markets

Sarah Mouabbi, Evgenia Passari and Adrien Rousset Planat
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Evgenia Passari: DRM - Dauphine Recherches en Management - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Adrien Rousset Planat: DRM - Dauphine Recherches en Management - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: We build indexes of commodity price developments simulating news reading using a computer-based, narrative approach. Our approach is flexible, unified, and can span the global commodity market. Our indexes track the post-crisis collapse of commodity markets, other market-specific developments, as well as the recent COVID-19 crisis. Our method can be easily applied to open questions in the international macroeconomics and finance literatures. We find that the nature of commodity price movements matters for portfolio diversification decisions and has a differential impact on stock market volatility.- The seminar is supported by the Labex (Laboratory of excellence) of Institut Louis Bachelier

Date: 2021-03
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Published in Research Seminar, Finance For Energy Market Research Centre, Mar 2021, Paris, France

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04716204

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