Does exchange rate policy matter for economic growth? Vietnam evidence from a co-integration approach

Thi Hong Hanh Pham and Thinh Nguyen Duc
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Thi Hong Hanh Pham: UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université
Thinh Nguyen Duc: Ministry of Planning and Investment

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Abstract: Both economic growth and exchange rate theories suggest that the exchange rate regime could have consequences for the medium-term growth of a country, directly, through its effects on the adjustment to shocks, and indirectly, through its impact on the important determinants of growth. It is, however, surprising that there was little empirical work investigating the indirect relationship between the exchange rate policy and economics growth in the case of a specific country. In a co-integration framework, our research attempts to fill the gap by econometrically investigating the possible impacts of exchange rate regime on economic growth through two main channels -Foreign direct investment (FDI) and Exports -in the case of Vietnam -a successful example of a transitional economy.

Date: 2010-01-11
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Published in Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30 (1), pp.169-81

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