News and firm entry: The role of the waiting option

Anastasiia Antonova and Mykhailo Matvieiev
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Anastasiia Antonova: AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Mykhailo Matvieiev: AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Firm entry and capital investment both vary over the business cycle. This paper analyzes the role of the firm entry delay option (waiting option) in the joint dynamics of firm entry and investment in a news-driven RBC model. We introduce the waiting option by restricting the number of potential firm entrants and demonstrate that the combination of news shocks and the waiting option effect yields empirically plausible joint dynamics of firm entry and investment over the business cycle. In contrast, the model without the entry delay option produces excessively volatile firm entry. We rationalize our findings using an analytical real-option model of firm entry.

Keywords: entry delay option; firm entry; news shocks; real business cycle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-02
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05066974v1
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Published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2025, 171, pp.105034. ⟨10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105034⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05066974

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105034

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