Energy Transition as a Driver of Export Structure: Empirical Evidence from African Countries

Mohamed Boutabba, Amandine Laré, Albert Lessoua and Diadié Diaw
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Mohamed Boutabba: UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université, LERN - Laboratoire d'Economie Rouen Normandie - UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - IRIHS - Institut de Recherche Interdisciplinaire Homme et Société - UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université
Amandine Laré: EM Normandie - École de Management de Normandie = EM Normandie Business School, Métis Lab EM Normandie - EM Normandie - École de Management de Normandie = EM Normandie Business School
Albert Lessoua: ESCE, International Business School, OMNES Education Research Center
Diadié Diaw: UR2 - Université de Rennes 2, LIRIS - Laboratoire interdisciplinaire de recherche en innovations sociétales - UR2 - Université de Rennes 2

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Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of renewable energy investments on the dependence of African countries on primary commodity exports. Using a panel of 48 African countries from 2000 to 2020, we apply both Cross-Sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) models and panel quantile regressions to account for cross-sectional dependence, country heterogeneity, and distributional heterogeneity in export dependence. The results consistently show that increased investments in renewable energy are associated with a significant reduction in primary commodity export dependence. This effect is particularly pronounced at the middle quantiles, suggesting that countries with intermediate levels of dependence benefit more from green investments. These findings underscore the need for targeted green investment policies, especially in countries at intermediate stages of export dependence. Supporting renewable energy expansion can be a strategic tool to foster economic diversification.

Date: 2025-07-10
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Published in 3rd Interprofessional Dialogue on Taxation - International trade, economic development, and sustainability: Focus on customs organizations and their role in facilitating trade in Africa, IFFD-OTR, Jul 2025, Lomé, Togo

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05307682

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