The Cost of Fear: Impact of Violence Risk on Child Health During Conflict

Augustin Tapsoba
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Augustin Tapsoba: TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement

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Abstract: The fear of exposure to conflict events often triggers changes in the behavior of eco-nomic agents even before/without any manifestation of violence in a given area. It gen-erates a treatment status (exposure to the adverse e˙ects of conflict) that goes beyond violence incidence. This paper develops a new approach to capture such treatment. Violence is modeled as a space-time stochastic process with an unknown underlying distribution that is backed out of the observed pattern of conflict events. A new risk measure is built from this density and used to evaluate the impact of conflict on child health using data from Ivory Coast and Uganda. The empirical evidence suggests that conflict is a local public bad, with cohorts of children exposed to high risk of violence equally su˙ering major health setbacks even when this risk does not materialize in violent events around them.

Keywords: Conflict; Insecurity; Kernel Density Estimation; Child Health (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-01
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Published in Journal of Development Economics, 2023, vol. 160 (n° 102975), ⟨10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102975⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05514692

DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102975

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