Should I Stay or Should I Go? Graduate Mobility and Local Economic Dynamics

Partir ou rester ? La mobilité des diplômés à l’épreuve des dynamiques économiques locales

Bastien Bernela (), Liliane Bonnal (), Inès Touré () and Ahmed Tritah ()
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Bastien Bernela: LéP [Poitiers] - Laboratoire d'économie de Poitiers [UR 13822] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers
Liliane Bonnal: LéP [Poitiers] - Laboratoire d'économie de Poitiers [UR 13822] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers, TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement
Inès Touré: LéP [Poitiers] - Laboratoire d'économie de Poitiers [UR 13822] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers
Ahmed Tritah: LéP [Poitiers] - Laboratoire d'économie de Poitiers [UR 13822] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers, ABS - Africa Business School [UM6P, Morocco] - UM6P - Université Mohammed VI Polytechnique = Mohammed VI Polytechnic University [Ben Guerir]

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Abstract: The present article analyses the effect of social and territorial origin on geographic mobility choices of young people. The objective is to assess the extent to which local economic dynamics influence mobility at entry into higher education and the labour market, and to examine whether this effect varies according to social background. The 2017 Generation survey from Céreq is used to characterise individual mobility trajectories, supplemented with INSEE's Labour Force surveys to provide a description of the local employment context. The results show that a favourable local economic situation, measured by an index capturing labour demand shocks, reduces post‑baccalaureate mobility; however, it has little or no discernible effect at the time of labour market entry. These effects are tempered by social background factors: young people with at least one parent employed at executive level are slightly more responsive to local economic conditions when joining the labour market.

Keywords: Social background; Local economic dynamics; Bartik index; Graduates; Spatial mobility; Origine sociale; Dynamique économique locale; Indice de Bartik; Diplômés; Mobilité spatiale (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://insee.hal.science/hal-05567571v1
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Published in Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, 2025, 548, pp.27-50. ⟨10.24187/ecostat.2025.548.2140⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05567571

DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2025.548.2140

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