Carbon Tax and Emissions Transfer: A Spatial Analysis

Sahar Amidi (), Rezgar Feizi, Thaís Núñez Rocha () and Isabelle Rabaud ()
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Sahar Amidi: UO - Université d'Orléans, LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne
Rezgar Feizi: uni.lu - Université du Luxembourg = University of Luxembourg = Universität Luxemburg
Thaís Núñez Rocha: UO - Université d'Orléans, LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne
Isabelle Rabaud: UO - Université d'Orléans, LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne

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Abstract: With the rising role of globalization, assessing the impact of carbon taxation on emissions embodied in trade has become a key issue. Our contribution consists of examining the effect of the carbon tax on emissions embodied in trade, in the framework of the input–output tables. We use variations in the economic sectors of each country to first identify the most and least polluting sectors and, second, investigate the spatial correlation resulting from carbon taxes in the emissions embodied in trade using SDA (structural decomposition analysis), MRIO (multiregional input–output model), and spatial econometric models, covering 56 sectors and 43 countries (32 OECD and 11 non-OECD) from 2000 to 2014. We identify the "electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply" sector as the highest emitter. When the carbon tax is imposed on OECD countries, emissions embodied in exports (EEE) and in imports (EEI) from neighboring countries increase by 7.4% and 83.2%, respectively. For non-OECD countries, the results show a 20.7% increase in EEE and a 79% increase in EEI. Our policy recommendation is to coordinate the tax levels, at least regionally, in order to avoid an increase in EEE.

Keywords: Spatial econometric; multi-regional input-output table; Trade emission; Carbon tax (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-02-27
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Published in Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 2026, 31 (1), pp.213-240. ⟨10.1007/s10666-025-10058-6⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05614207

DOI: 10.1007/s10666-025-10058-6

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