Modélisation séculaire du marché des transports de marchandises. (Modèle « S.D. FRET »)

Alain Bonnafous () and Olivier Garcia
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Olivier Garcia: LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Secular modelling of the freight market. - This paper offers a freight model for France, which covers a one hundred and fifty years period (1841-1994). Three results can be emphasized from this cliometrics study. First, the elasticity of global traffic with respect to industrial production decreases after the First Worlds War. Then, the performances of the different modes of transport (road, railway, waterway) as regards to pricing and supply determine the market shares in the long-term. Finally, we fail to highlight an impact of trafic pressure on network development.

Keywords: Modélisation du trafic de marchandises; cliométrie; modèle séculaire « SD Fret »; modèle prix-temps; France (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Published in Economies et Sociétés. Série AF, Histoire Economique Quantitative, 2005, 33, pp. 1265-1297

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Journal Article: Modélisation séculaire du marché des transports de marchandises. (Modèle "S.D.FRET") (2005)
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