Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree

Minh Ha-Duong, Rob Swart, Lenny Bernstein and Arthur Petersen
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Rob Swart: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency - Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Lenny Bernstein: L.S. Bernstein & Associates, L.L.C. - L.S. Bernstein & Associates, L.L.C.
Arthur Petersen: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency - Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

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Abstract: Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of uncertainties, but coordination across working groups (WGs) has remained an issue. We argue that there are good reasons for working groups to use different methods to assess uncertainty, thus it is better that working groups agree to disagree rather than seek to bring everybody on one party line.

Keywords: IPCC; uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00117303v1
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Published in Global Environmental Change, 2007, 17 (1), pp.8-11

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00117303

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