Aggregation of Heterogeneous Beliefs

Elyès Jouini () and Clotilde Napp

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Abstract: This paper is a generalization of [Calvet, L., Grandmont, J.-M., Lemaire, I., 2002. Aggregation of heterogenous beliefs and asset pricing in complete financial markets. Working paper] to a dynamic setting. We propose a method to aggregate heterogeneous individual probability beliefs, in dynamic and complete asset markets, into a single consensus probability belief. This consensus probability belief, if commonly shared by all investors, generates the same equilibrium prices as well as the same individual marginal valuation as in the original heterogeneous probability beliefs setting. As in [Calvet, L., Grandmont, J.-M., Lemaire, I., 2002. Aggregation of heterogenous beliefs and asset pricing in complete financial markets. Working paper], the construction stands on a fictitious adjustment of the market portfolio. The adjustment process reflects the aggregation bias due to the diversity of beliefs. In this setting, the construction of a representative agent is shown to be also valid.

Keywords: Heterogeneous beliefs; Consensus belief; Aggregation of belief; Representative agents (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-09
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00151562v1
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

Published in Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2006, 42 (6), pp.752-770. ⟨10.1016/j.jmateco.2006.02.001⟩

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Journal Article: Aggregation of heterogeneous beliefs (2006)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00151562

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmateco.2006.02.001

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