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Oil Price and the Dollar

Virginie Coudert, Valérie Mignon () and Alexis Penot
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Virginie Coudert: EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Alexis Penot: GATE - Groupe d'analyse et de théorie économique - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENS LSH - Ecole Normale Supérieure Lettres et Sciences Humaines - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: The aim of this paper is to test whether a stable long-term relationship exists between oil prices and the US effective exchange rate, expressed in real terms. To this end, weproceed to a cointegration and causality study between the two variables. Our results indicate that causality runs from oil prices to the exchange rate and that the relationship between the two variables is transmitted through the US net foreign asset position.

Keywords: oil prices; effective exchange rate; net foreign asset position; cointegration; causality; error correction model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00353404
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (81)

Published in Energy Studies Review, 2008, 15 (2)

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