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Séparation politique et désintégration commerciale

José De Sousa () and Olivier Lamotte

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Abstract: Recent papers document severe and rapid trade disintegration following political disintegration. We challenge this result and support the idea that established bilateral trade changes relatively slowly. Using the unique case of former Yugoslavia, we do not find any evidence of a strong and continuous trade disintegration. Moreover, we find that successor states trade still intensively several years after the political disintegration. We also find strong evidence that trade disintegration has been affected by the transition process. In particular, the institutional reforms seem to explain the home bias effect by favoring trade redeployment to outside partners.

Keywords: désintégration politique; désintégration commerciale; effet frontière; stratégie d'estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published in Revue Economique, 2009, 60 (4), pp.891-903. ⟨10.3917/reco.604.0891⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00414131

DOI: 10.3917/reco.604.0891

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