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Assessing the impact of the main East-Asian free trade agreements using a gravity model. First results

Laëtitia Guilhot ()
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Laëtitia Guilhot: LEPII - Laboratoire d'Economie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: The purpose of this article is to assess the impact of the three main East-Asian free trade agreements (ASEAN, ASEAN-China and ASEAN-South Korea) on intra-regional and extra-regional trade. To do this, we use a panel-data gravity model with three regional indicator variables. On the basis of the results, we conclude that the ASEAN agreement favours regional and multilateral trade, with the creation of exports to the rest of the world outweighing the diversion of extra-regional imports. The ASEAN-China and ASEAN-South Korea agreements have thus far not been shown to have an impact on East-Asian trade flows.

Keywords: gravity model; free trade agreement; ASEAN; China; South Korea; modèle de gravité; modélisation; accord commercial; libre-échange; échange commercial; commerce international; régionalisme; Chine; Corée du sud (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published in Economic Bulletin, 2010, 30 (1), pp.282-291

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00451441

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