Epidemics and fertility in a Malthusian economy

Jean-Pierre Laffargue ()
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Jean-Pierre Laffargue: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement

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Abstract: A Malthusian model clarifies the effects of an epidemic on fertility and on the age structure. An HIV/AIDS epidemic leads to a decrease in fertility, a result consistent with the case of sub-Saharan Africa, but sensitive to national conditions. The fall of fertility might be limited to one generation.

Keywords: Fertility; Mortality; Epidemic; AIDS; Malaria; Black Death (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published in Mathematical Population Studies, 2012, 19, pp.4-26

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00669487

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