Sleeping Beauty and the absent-minded driver

Jean Baratgin () and Bernard Walliser
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Jean Baratgin: CRAC - Laboratoire de Conception et de Réalisation des Applications Complexes - EPM - École Polytechnique de Montréal, IJN - Institut Jean-Nicod - DEC - Département d'Etudes Cognitives - ENS-PSL - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CdF (institution) - Collège de France - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Département de Philosophie - ENS-PSL - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres

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Abstract: The Sleeping Beauty problem is presented in a formalized framework which summarizes the underlying probability structure. The two rival solutions proposed by Elga (Analysis 60:143-147, 2000) and Lewis (Analysis 61:171-176, 2001) differ by a single parameter concerning her prior probability. They can be supported by considering, respectively, that Sleeping Beauty is "fuzzy-minded" and "blank-minded", the first interpretation being more natural than the second. The traditional absent-minded driver problem is reinterpreted in this framework and sustains Elga's solution.

Keywords: Absent-mindedness; Belief revision; Probability; Sleeping Beauty problem (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-09
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Published in Theory and Decision, 2010, 69 (3), pp.489-496. ⟨10.1007/s11238-010-9215-6⟩

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Journal Article: Sleeping Beauty and the absent-minded driver (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00754429

DOI: 10.1007/s11238-010-9215-6

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