WOULD CLIMATE POLICY IMPROVE THE EUROPEAN ENERGY SECURITY?

Céline Guivarch, Stéphanie Monjon, Julie Rozenberg and Adrien Vogt-Schilb
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Julie Rozenberg: CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Adrien Vogt-Schilb: CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Energy security improvement is often presented as a co-benefit of climate policies. This paper evaluates this claim. It investigates whether climate policy would improve energy security, while accounting for the difficulties entailed by the many-faceted nature of the concept and the large uncertainties on the determinants of future energy systems. A multi-dimension analysis grid is used to capture the energy security concept, and a database of scenarios allows us to explore the uncertainty space. The results, focusing on Europe, reveal there is no unequivocal effect of climate policy on all the perspectives of energy security. Moreover, time significantly matters: the impact of climate policies is mixed in the short term and globally good in the medium term. In the long term, there is a risk of degradation of the energy security. Lastly, we examine the robustness of our results to uncertainties on drivers of economic growth, availability of fossil fuels and the potentials and low-carbon technologies, and find that they are sensitive mainly to fossil fuels availability, low carbon technologies in the energy sector and improvements in energy efficiency.

Keywords: Climate policy; energy security; Europe; scenarios database; multi-criteria decision (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-05
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published in Climate Change Economics, 2015, 06 (02), pp.10. ⟨10.1142/S2010007815500086⟩

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Working Paper: Would climate policy improve the European energy security? (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01171469

DOI: 10.1142/S2010007815500086

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