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Economic prediction of sport performances from the Beijing Olympics to the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa: the notion of surprising sporting outcomes

Wladimir Andreff () and Madeleine Andreff
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Wladimir Andreff: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Madeleine Andreff: OEP - Organisation et Efficacité de Production - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12

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Abstract: An econometric model with very significant explanatory variables of Olympic Games medal wins is emended in such a way as to explain the qualification of national football teams to the semi-finals of the FIFA World Cup. It is shown that this model is not able to predict 100% of semi-finalists of the next Cup.

Keywords: Econometric Modeling; forecasts; prediction; football; sports economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01244495v1
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Published in Placido Rodriguez, Stefan Késenne, Ruud Koning. The Economics of Competitive Sports, Edward Elgar, pp.185-215, 2015, 978 1 78347 475 2. ⟨10.4337/9781783474769.00018⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01244495

DOI: 10.4337/9781783474769.00018

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