Estimating the local population using the negative exponential density function

L'estimation de la population totale à un niveau communal: utilisation d'une fonction de densité exponentielle négative

Bernard Schéou (bscheou@univ-perp.fr)
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Bernard Schéou: LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Population is a variable commonly used in the construction of aggregate models, especially in the fields of regional and transport planning. But estimating the future population of a small area, such as a municipality, is particularly difficult. In the early 1970s, many researchers worked on the location of urban population using the negative exponential density function. This article examines the scope and limitations of this model for projecting the population of the smallest French administrative divisions (communes), based on a case study of the Lyon conurbation.

Keywords: density function; modelling; population projection; densité; modélisation; projections de population (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
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Published in Espace Géographique, 1998, 27 (4), pp.301-316

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01357330

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