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Sovereign debt risk in emerging market economies: Does inflation targeting adoption make any difference?

Hippolyte Balima (), Jean-Louis Combes () and Alexandru Minea ()

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Abstract: Based on a sample of 38 emerging economies, we find that inflation targeting (IT) adoption improves sovereign debt risk. Next, we show that this favorable effect is sensitive to several structural characteristics, and to the considered time span. Finally, the measure of sovereign risk (sovereign debt ratings or government bond yield spreads) and the IT form (full-fledged or partial) equally influence the effect of IT adoption on sovereign debt risk. Thus, our paper provides valuable insights regarding IT implementation as a device for improving emerging market economies' access to international financial markets.

Keywords: Inflation; targeting; Sovereign; debt; ratings; Government; bond; yield; spreads; Emerging; markets; Propensity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01426508
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Published in Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017, 70, pp.360-377

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