Categorical versus graded beliefs

Franz Dietrich

Post-Print from HAL

Abstract: This essay discusses the difficulty to reconcile two paradigms about beliefs: the binary or categorical paradigm of yes/no beliefs and the probabilistic paradigm of degrees of belief. The possibility for someone to hold beliefs of both types simultaneously is challenged by the lottery paradox, and more recently by a general impossibility theorem by Dietrich and List. The nature, relevance, and implications of the tension are explained and assessed.

Keywords: logic vs. rational choice theory; yes/no belief vs. graded belief; subjective probability; belief binarization; lottery paradox; impossibility theorem; binary belief; credence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hpe
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03615028v1
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Published in Frontiers in Psychology, 2022, 13, pp.817940. ⟨10.3389/fpsyg.2022.817940⟩

Downloads: (external link)
https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03615028v1/document (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Categorical versus graded beliefs (2022)
Working Paper: Categorical versus graded beliefs (2022)
Working Paper: Categorical versus graded beliefs (2022)
Working Paper: Categorical versus graded beliefs (2022)
Working Paper: Categorical versus graded beliefs (2022)
Working Paper: Categorical versus graded beliefs (2021)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03615028

DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.817940

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Post-Print from HAL
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CCSD ().