Taux de change réel et fluctuations économiques: cas de la Tunisie

Mohamed Abdallah and Imed Drine
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Mohamed Abdallah: TEAM - Théories et Applications en Microéconomie et Macroéconomie - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Imed Drine: MAD - Macroéconomie et Analyse des Déséquilibres - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, EUREQUA - Equipe Universitaire de Recherche en Economie Quantitative - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Europe is a privileged partner for the Tunisian economy. Thus the monetary integration of Europe has important implication on the evolution of courses of changes in Tunisia. The implications of this regime change are difficult for surrond especially that the Euro as a strong currency is not again confirmed. This paper adopts a multivariate data analysis approach-common trends approach-to analysis the implications of shocks of changes on the Tunisian economy as well as the effectiveness of the monetary policy to face a possible shock of change. Empirical results show the weak sensitivity of the Tunisian economy to the shock of change. The monetary policy remains forseeable in the short term to manage shock of change

Keywords: cointegration; common trends; real exchange rate; fluctuations and impulse responses; Cointégration multivariée; tendances communes; taux de change réel; fluctuations économiques et fonctions de réponse (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000-08
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Published in 2000

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03773365

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