Shaking up Foreign Finance: FDI in a Post-Disaster World

Robert Reinhardt ()
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Robert Reinhardt: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: This paper studies the effects earthquakes have on inward foreign direct investment (FDI) within a country. I use a dynamic difference-in-difference model to estimate the impact of geophysical disaster exposure in 416 Indonesian districts. The effects are only temporary: FDI inflows plummet by 90% on average in the first year an earthquake before recovering to pre-earthquake levels. The effect is largely driven by shocks through affected upstream industries within local supply chains, and centered within the manufacturing sector. This highlights the importance to also consider indirect earthquake effects through spatial and production networks, besides the direct effects on labor and capital.

Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Disasters; Risk; Input-Output (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-sea
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03908250v2
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Published in 2022

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03908250

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