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The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements

Lionel Fontagné, Nadia Rocha, Michele Ruta and Gianluca Santoni
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Nadia Rocha: World Bank Group

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Abstract: This paper explores the economic impacts of preferential trade agreements, conditional on their level of ambition. It clusters 278 agreements, encompassing 910 provisions over 18 policy areas and estimates the trade elasticity for the different clusters. These elasticities are used in a series of general-equilibrium counterfactual situations for endowment economies, revealing that deepening existing agreements (the intensive margin of regional integration) could boost world trade by 3.9 percent and world GDP by 0.9 percent. The expected gains from deepening agreements within or across regions vary depending on the initial depth of agreements and the size of regional markets.

Date: 2023-08
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Published in World Bank Economic Review, 2023, 37 (3), pp.366-388. ⟨10.1093/wber/lhad005⟩

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Journal Article: The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements (2023)
Working Paper: The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements (2023)
Working Paper: The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: The Economic Impact of Deepening Trade Agreements (2022) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-04208569

DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhad005

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