Big hits in export growth

Melise Jaud, Olivier Cadot, Anne-Célia Disdier and Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann ()
Additional contact information
Melise Jaud: World Bank - Banque Mondiale
Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann: PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement

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Abstract: This paper identifies export accelerations at the country pair-product level that are large enough to drive aggregate export growth in the medium run. In a sample of 100 countries, these export "big hits" are rare, less than 2 percent of all export spells, yet account for over two-thirds of export growth in a given country. The paper then explores their microfoundations using matched customs-census firm-level data for France. We find that typically, two firms are sufficient to generate a big hit and these firms' access to external financing is key to their ability to drive export success. Moreover, big hits spread within firms across destinations and products. Our results offer new evidence on the granularity of export growth by linking micro-level entrepreneurial decisions with country-level export outcomes.

Keywords: Exports; Big hits; Exporting firms; Export dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-09
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Published in Journal of Development Economics, 2024, 170, ⟨10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103310⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-04632037

DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103310

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