Victim or Threat? Shipwrecks, Terrorist Attacks, and Asylum Decisions in France

Mathilde Emeriau
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Mathilde Emeriau: LSE - London School of Economics and Political Science

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Abstract: Tragic events such as terrorist attacks have been shown to influence voters' policy preferences, but less is known about whether such events also affect actual immigration policy. In this study, I bring new evidence to this question by examining whether migrant shipwrecks and terrorist attacks affected asylum decisions in France during the refugee crisis of 2015–16. I find that asylum officers were more likely to approve an individual's refugee application if a shipwreck has recently been in the news than they are otherwise. Yet they were less likely to grant refugee status to asylum seekers from Syria and Iraq after a terrorist attack. Together, these findings suggest that tragic events can affect immigration policy through their influence on asylum officers.

Date: 2024-10
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Published in American Journal of Political Science, 2024, 68 (4), pp.1187-1204. ⟨10.1111/ajps.12829⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-04954328

DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12829

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