Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization

Frédéric Docquier, Stefano Iandolo, Hillel Rapoport (), Riccardo Turati and Gonzague Vannoorenberghe
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Frédéric Docquier: LISER - Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research
Stefano Iandolo: DISES - Department of Economics and Statistics - UNISA - Università degli Studi di Salerno = University of Salerno
Gonzague Vannoorenberghe: UCLouvain - Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain

PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) from HAL

Abstract: We propose new ways to measure populism, using the Manifesto Project Database (1960-2019) as main source of data. We characterize the evolution of populism over 60 years and show empirically that it is significantly impacted by the skill-content of globalization. Specifically, imports of goods which are intensive in low-skill labor generate more right-wing populism, and low-skill immigration shifts the distribution of votes to the right, with more votes for right-wing populist parties and less for left-wing populist parties. In contrast, imports of high-skill labor intensive goods, as well as high-skill immigration flows, tend to reduce the volume of populism.

Date: 2026
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Published in The Economic Journal, In press, ⟨10.1093/ej/ueag019⟩

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Related works:
Working Paper: Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization (2026)
Working Paper: Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization (2025)
Working Paper: Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization (2025)
Working Paper: Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization (2025)
Working Paper: Populism and the Skill-Content of Globalization (2024)
Working Paper: Populism and the skill content of globalisation (2024)
Working Paper: Populism and the skill content of globalisation (2024)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-05665237

DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueag019

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