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Refining opportunity cost estimates of not adopting GM cotton: An application in seven sub-saharan african countries

Antoine Bouët and Guillaume Gruère

Working Papers from HAL

Abstract: A computable general equilibrium model is applied to evaluate the opportunity costs of not adopting Bt cotton, a genetically-modified (GM) insect resistant cotton, in Benin, Burkina- Faso, Mali, Senegal, Togo, Tanzania, and Uganda when it is adopted in other countries. Our model uniquely employs country-specific partial adoption rates and factor-biased productivity shocks in the cotton and oilseed sectors of all adopting regions. Assuming a 50% adoption rate, the opportunity cost of not adopting Bt cotton in the seven surveyed countries amounts to $41 million per year, which is a significant but lower cost than that suggested by the results of previous studies. Trade liberalization only marginally increases this estimate.

Keywords: Biotechnology; international trade; Sub-Saharan Africa; cotton.; cotton (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-02-11
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00637587v1
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Journal Article: Refining Opportunity Cost Estimates of Not Adopting GM Cotton: An Application in Seven Sub-Saharan African Countries (2011) Downloads
Journal Article: Refining Opportunity Cost Estimates of Not Adopting GM Cotton: An Application in Seven Sub-Saharan African Countries (2011) Downloads
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