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Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision

Richard Bradley, Casey Helgeson and Brian Hill ()
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Richard Bradley: Department of Archaeology - UOR - University of Reading

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Abstract: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Date: 2016-02-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01993428

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