Shipping Trade and Geopolitical Turmoils

Bárbara Polo Martin (), Marc-Antoine Faure (), Fabio Cremaschini and César Ducruet ()
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Bárbara Polo Martin: EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Marc-Antoine Faure: EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UniGe - Università degli studi di Genova = University of Genoa
Fabio Cremaschini: UniGe - Università degli studi di Genova = University of Genoa
César Ducruet: EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Conflicts, whether political, commercial or military, affect transport networks. Operators seek to avoid the most tense areas or reconsider certain routes. Certain links can be disrupted in case of local geopolitical tensions, which can have a significant global impact. The article is devoted to studying Ukraine's maritime network and identifying changes in these structures because of the conflict that started in 2014. The purpose of the paper is to measure and visualise the main changes in the Ukrainian seaport system and maritime forelands from 2010 until the most recent data available (December 2023), from a network models, bilateral trade and route simulation framework. The principal results confirm the huge impact of military conflict on port connectivity, thereby contributing to the recent literature on shipping network vulnerability.

Keywords: Black Sea; Complex networks; Shipping Trade; Russian-Ukrainian War (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04660640v2
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