Đổi mới sáng tạo để thoát bẫy nghèo khó, bẫy thu nhập trung bình và bẫy tăng trưởng trung bình?

Cuong Le Van (), Thanh Tam Nguyen-Huu (), Phu Nguyen-Van () and Ngoc-Sang Pham ()
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Cuong Le Van: CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, DEPOCEN - Development and Policies Research Center, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris
Thanh Tam Nguyen-Huu: Métis Lab EM Normandie - EM Normandie - École de Management de Normandie = EM Normandie Business School
Phu Nguyen-Van: EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Ngoc-Sang Pham: EM Normandie - École de Management de Normandie = EM Normandie Business School

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Abstract: In the context of globalization and intensifying economic competition, Vietnam has achieved remarkable progress in economic growth and improving living standards over the past few decades. However, significant challenges persist, particularly the risk of falling into development traps such as the poverty trap, the middle-income trap, and the average growth rate trap. Vietnam is currently classified as a lower-middle-income country, with a GDP per capita of approximately USD 4,700 in 2024. According to a World Bank report (Coppola et al., 2024), achieving the goal of becoming a high-income country by 2045 requires Vietnam to sustain a high and consistent economic growth rate. This article analyzes the core factors driving economic growth, defines the types of development traps, and proposes innovation- and technology-based (I&T) solutions to help Vietnam overcome these challenges. The analysis draws on data and insights from official sources, such as the General Statistics Office of Vietnam (GSO) and international organizations, to substantiate the arguments. This article does not address the risks posed by U.S. tariff policies, which significantly impact Vietnam—one of the economies heavily reliant on foreign markets—and contribute to the reconfiguration of the global trade order.

Keywords: Tăng; trưởng; kinh; tế (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-05-07
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05158494v1
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