Managing Portfolio Risk During the BREXIT Crisis: A Cross-Quantilogram Analysis of Stock Markets and Commodities Across European Countries, the US, and BRICS

Ayedi Ahmed, Marjène Gana (gana.ym@gnet.tn), Stéphane Goutte and Khaled Guesmi
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Ayedi Ahmed: UP8 - Université Paris 8 Vincennes-Saint-Denis
Marjène Gana: HEC Montréal - HEC Montréal
Khaled Guesmi: PSB - Paris School of Business - HESAM - HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université

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Abstract: Against the backdrop of the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the European Union (BREXIT), this study examines predictability in the stock markets of sixteen European countries, the United States, and the BRICS (Brazil, China, India, Russia, and South Africa) by analyzing how their returns predict the returns of sixteen commodities at different quantile levels. The study builds upon existing literature on predictability and extends it by investigating the impact of the BREXIT crisis on these markets. The findings suggest that investors can hedge their portfolios with various commodities during times of the BREXIT crisis, but caution is advised, and the trend of both equities and commodities should be closely monitored before making investment decisions.

Keywords: Equity markets; commodity markets; predictability; BREXIT (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-04-14
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis and nep-fmk
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