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Leveraged Carry Trade Portfolios

Zsolt Darvas

No 822, CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS from Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies

Abstract: Studying all possible pairs of eleven major currencies and eleven portfolios in 1976-2008 we show that, when there is no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not diminish in time providing a strong case against the hypothesis of uncovered interest rate parity. We explain these findings with the leveraged nature of carry trade: leverage may increase profitability but it materially increases downside risk. We argue that market inefficiency is related to the level of leverage.

Keywords: Bootstrap; Currency market; Diversification; Leverage; Uncovered interest rate parity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F31 G11 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44 pages
Date: 2008-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Leveraged carry trade portfolios (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Leveraged carry trade portfolios (2008) Downloads
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